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Sports Betting Strategy – How to Middle a Game

January 4th, 2010 |

Author: Martinez Moore

In sports gambling strategies, are you familiar with the word ‘middling’ a game? If you’re not, you ought to be since it’s a great technique to potentially make a huge income without exposing yourself to very much risk at all. I’ll use an illustration from this 4th week of the college football schedule to clarify the concept.

On Friday there’s a game that has Louisiana Tech visiting Nevada. The game opened with Nevada as a 7 point favorite. That’s a pretty critical number in football since nearly all touchdowns result in 7 points for the team that scored, so you see that number a lot. Nothing strange there. But as the game is approaching we see there has been some serious line movement, and you might be surprised, but this happens in college games rather often.

As it stands at the present Nevada is favored by 10.5 points. That’s a HUGE move, and what makes it so statistically important is that it has moved by more than 3 points. Why is that so important? Because 3 is the other common number at which points are added to a team’s score in football. Three and seven, those are hugely important numbers, and that’s why this game presents one of the perfect sports betting strategies, ‘middling’ a game.Let’s say that you liked Nevada when the game came out, so you bet them -7. Now the spread has moved to 10.5.

So, what happens if you put a bet in on Louisiana +10.5? Worst case scenario, you lose the juice. Most places charge you $110 to win $100. So if one bet loses and one bet wins you’ll lose the juice.There’s a good opportunity you might win one bet and push on the other bet (you’ll get your money back on the push) since a huge percentage of games each season land on 7 as the final spread. That would be great.